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6-0 XFS red flag lolChris Padilla is worst fighter who signs for UFC ever. + Short notice.
6-0 XFS red flag lolChris Padilla is worst fighter who signs for UFC ever. + Short notice.
Chris Padilla is worst fighter who signs for UFC ever. + Short notice.
Too many mismatches... that is an unexpected for UFC.
Niang's cardio and stand up is laughable. Ivana is better everywhere.
Yahya is a one trick pony and is old like Buddha fighting against pretty solid well rounded fighter.
Chris Padilla is worst fighter who signs for UFC ever. + Short notice.
I appreciate Marnic Mann sucks, but does Ketlen Souza deserve to be so wide here?
Thoughts on Silva vs Lipski anyone ?
she historically losses to grapplers. her last 3 opponents were just below the grappling level needed to keep her down. i dont see Karine struggling to hold her or even finish her on the ground. she is on par with Montana and shevchenko who is barely a grappler.I would not play her below +500 because there is a strong chance imo that she is at both a striking and grappling deficit. She is definitely going to be outmatched on the feet, by a wide margin, and will be similarly uncomfortable to how she was in her last fight due to the speed and explosiveness of her opponent.
Souza is pretty similar imo to her last opponent and I expect a similar result. Her technique is not as good nor is she as sound defensively as Knutsson but she is significantly more dangerous and physically stronger which will present challenges of their own.
There isn't a particularly strong reason to be bullish about either side imo.
I would not presume Lipski's getup game looks similar to how it did 3 years ago, when we have seen significant improvements in her takedown defense, just as I would not presume LIpski is a lock to win a 15 minute kickboxing match when we saw how closely she fought with Melissa Gatto.
There are too many unknowns on both sides to be meaningfully confident about either.
she historically losses to grapplers. her last 3 opponents were just below the grappling level needed to keep her down. i dont see Karine struggling to hold her or even finish her on the ground. she is on par with Montana and shevchenko who is barely a grappler.
The last 3 girls Gatto, oneal, and JJ have decent takedowns and are perceived as grapplers but they don’t have any top pressure or submission threat . i think karine smokes her under 1.5
her getup is due to lesser skilled opposition on the ground than her making leaps.You are making the error of presuming her getup game is the same as it was 3 years ago, which is the last time we saw her be put on her back, thats a faulty assumption imo given the clear gains she has made in her takedown defense.
There is no real way to be confident in either due to the unknowns on both sides. Much better spots on the card imo than betting a fight with incomplete information.
retaping lipski lasts three fights, she never got taken down, I cant find her getting back up to her feet. I've seen her stuff takedowns successfully by maintain her balance in a few slowed doubles from Jj, and a failed hip throw here and there from Gatto. But where are the getups? Can someone reference or time stamp? i cant find her scrambling from the ground to her feet. There was a brief exchange where gatto got put on her back, but i didn't see Lipski successfully getup off the ground.
Peruvian style is a antidote for wrestlers like Padilla. Output, basic n fundamentals, footwork, scrambles...Padilla looks like one of those sleeper dogs that upsets the favorite.
He fights very defensive and has decent takedowns. Likes to pop the jab and keeps a decent high guard . i wouldn’t write him off completely, majority of his losses are by decision. i think there are plenty worst than him. Llontop went to split in 2021 with a 7-7 fighter and one his two losses he got subbed by an average grappler. Padilla could win with a lay-n-pray strategy . he has that kind if wrestling to control him for a few minutes. it’s not like llontop is super explosive.
that's my point, its' rhetorical. the only footage i have is the Shevchenko and Montana fight where she looked clueless.You want time stamps of Lipski, who has not been taken down in her last three fights, getting back to her feet during her last three fights?
seriously?
i did a punt play with padilla, that line is too wide. id rate llontop -180 tops.Peruvian style is a antidote for wrestlers like Padilla. Output, basic n fundamentals, footwork, scrambles...
I would say Silva rd 1 sub is the only way I would play her. I have no interest in paying chalk for her if this fight goes 3. Lipski could also get a late finishthat's my point, its' rhetorical. the only footage i have is the Shevchenko and Montana fight where she looked clueless.
Maybe she could kneebar her like Luana and Karine was kneebarred before, but seems like she adopted the kneebar after she tapped to it. The only way i see Karine choking this is if she gives up her dominate positions to get subs and let her back up if she breaks free.
Tho i would say Luana had her in a tight leg lock, but fumbled it .
I think that is the likely outcome. About every person who took her down kept her down for the whole round.I would say Silva rd 1 sub is the only way I would play her. I have no interest in paying chalk for her if this fight goes 3. Lipski could also get a late finish
I tied with someone else for 1st in a 500 person contest for a 10K seat in the Draftkings MMA contest. Tomorrow is the playoff. This card is so hard from a DFS perspective. Hard to find people I'm really solid on. I don't play much dfs so I'm open for any thoughts.