RIZIN, MMA, betting thread

Bet365 added lines for Rizin 42 this morning, very happy that this is becoming a regular thing.

At first glance I’m liking a +231 parlay of Archuleta (-180) and Dodson (+115). I think their ages are being factored against them in the line but the experience levels are way too high.

It would be a real surprise if Dodson got stopped by a decision machine like Saomoto, and his speed will likely be too much for the younger fighter.

For Archuleta the guy has been in there against the best, I doubt Inoue is going to be able to hit a submission on him when Patchy couldn’t back in 2020. I think he should look better than he did against Kim too, this being his second fight in Japan.

Let me know if I’m way off base
 
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Rukiya Anpo vs 40 year old baukaw k-1 rules

Wont end well for baukaw

Anpo 2.65
 
Seeing some lines now. Motoya / Archuleta / Majima / Carlyle all look reasonably attractive at those prices.
 
RIZIN 42

Saturday 05.06.2023 at 12:00 AM ET
U.S. Broadcast: FITE
Promotion: RIZIN Fighting Federation
Tapology Accounts: RIZINFF
Ownership: Nobuyuki Sakakibara
Venue: Tokyo Ariake Arena
Location: Tokyo, Japan
Enclosure: Ring
MMA Bouts: 10
Kickboxing Bouts: 2

https://www.tapology.com/fightcenter/events/98135-rizin-42
https://www.tapology.com/forum/threads/71938

BetWay Rizin odds added on Tuesday

https://betway.com/en/sports/grp/ufc---martial-arts/upcoming-fights/rizin

Kai Asakura -225 age 29
Yuki Motoya +163 age 33, 0.3 inch reach advantage, 1 inch shorter in height

Juan Archuleta -175 age 35
Naoki Inoue +130 age 25, 10 years younger, 2 inch reach advantage, 1 inch taller, born 185 miles away

Roberto de Souza -350
Spike Carlyle +240

John Dodson -105 age 38
Tatsuki Saomoto -125 age 26, 12 years younger

Erson Yamamoto +300
Yuki Ito -450

Boyd Allen +163 3 inch reach Advantage, 2 inches taller, same age
Yuta Sasaki -225

Sota Kimura -125 age 22, 18 years younger, kickboxing fight
Yasuhiro Kido -105 age 40

Kido: “I’m super excited for this opportunity. My opponent is 22 years young and I just turned 40. I will do my best to not get bullied. Buakaw and I are the same age. I want to show everybody that we can still hang at the top at our age here in RIZIN."

Atsushi Kishimoto +140
Viktor Kolesnik -188

Buakaw Banchamek -188 age 40
Rukiya Anpo +140 age 27, 13 years younger, 2 inches taller, kickboxing fight

Buakaw: “I’m glad to be back in Japan. I haven’t fought here in a while but I’m excited to fight in RIZIN. I am confident in my victory. My plan is to work with RIZIN in a longer term and want to bring my young prospects to Japan. I feel that it is my duty for the next generation”

Ramazan Temurov -400
Yuta Hamamoto +275

Kazumasa Majima -120
Takahiro Ashida -110

Takeji Yokoyama -120
Takuya Yamamoto -110
 
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Two for two on Rizin parlays this month, sounds like Archuleta/Inoue was pretty back and forth.

Lost a sprinkle on Carlyle though
 
https://www.bestfightodds.com/events/rizin-2928
https://fightodds.io/odds/4685/rizin-43

https://www.tapology.com/fightcenter/events/100776-rizin-43
https://www.tapology.com/forum/threads/73591

RIZIN 43

Rizin
June 24th

BetWay:

Yusuke Yachi -275
Zach Zane +200
Chihiro Suzuki +240
Kleber Koike Erbst -350
Hiroaki Suzuki -125
Taisei Nishitani -105
Kensei Yamakawa +110
Ryoga Hirano -150
Raiki Endo +140
Tetsuya Seki -188
Daryl Lokoku +240
Minoru Kimura -350
Hideki Sekine -110
Mikio Ueda -120
Takeaki Kinoshita -138 https://www.tapology.com/fightcente...iling-sniper-kubo-vs-takeaki-karate-kinoshita
Yuta Kubo +105
Joji Goto +163
Trent Girdham -225
Aoi Kuriyama -150
Marina Kumagai +110
Suguru Nii -138
Tateo Iida +105
Haruka Hasegawa +240
Saori Oshima -350
Genji Umeno -163
Hiroki Suzuki +120
 
@EndlessCritic whats ur thoughts on fading 6-6 Karate dude Kinoshita against an actual credentialed kickboxer? Dude has killed and been killed by cans could seem massive value unless im missing something
 
Girdham worth adding to a parlay? So far only took Kleber and Yachi since they should have a massive advantage over their opponents.
 
Kubo 1,000 to win 860
Girdham + Yachi 750 to win 737
 
Thesnake101 said:
Girdham worth adding to a parlay? So far only took Kleber and Yachi since they should have a massive advantage over their opponents.
Click to expand...
i think so. He has great standup and grappling I dont know why money is coming back on the other dude who has fought nobody
 
EndlessCritic said:
https://www.bestfightodds.com/events/bellator-vs-rizin-2977

If this is accurate how do you not bet the Italian gangster at even?
Click to expand...
Stylistically they match well, he may not have the sub threats of Mix to get the finish. Magomed is a better finisher. Sabetello has a questionable chin because of that Rivera ko loss in 2019. i can see Magomed pulling off the upset. I actually think Magomed is better than Stots.

*not upset cause they are both -110 -115
 
Worth noting that the Sabatello/Magomedov portion will be in a cage, have to think that helps Sabatello.

Apparently the cage will be disassembled during the intermission after the McKee/Patricky fight and the ring will be up for the Rizin card.
 
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